Tuesday 11 August 2020

Coronavirus update - Part VII

 Since the last update, NHSx has significantly upgraded Coronavirus (COVID-19) in the UK:

  • In addition to Cases and Death, Testing and Healthcare are on offer in various subdivisions. 
  • On the downside, we still don't have Release / Recovery data, which appeared briefly mid-March under PHE tenure, then no more under NHSx. 
  • On the upside we get Middle layer Super Output Area (MSOA) or Ward-level equivalent, a vast improvement over Upper Tier Local Authority (UTLA) or County-level equivalent data. 

These are reflected in the CamCOVIDinfo dashboard maintained since mid-March:

click to enlarge

Notice, however, the slight uptick in the lower left hand graph: While were are experiencing a reduction in the pandemic, we certainly aren't done yet, and a second wave still lurks in our collective minds.

This is best detailed in combining NHSx data above that release hospital data, and Office for National Statistics (ONS) that release wider range of data out-of-hospitals: 

click to enlarge

  • Areas are NHSx cases (bottom blue) and cumulative (top red), scale at left.
  • Lines are ONS deaths (bottom green) and cumulative (top purple), scale at right.
  • The top line fortuitously highlights the jump on NHSx cumulative cases.

... In other words, as said before, there is NO flattening the curve yet! 


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