Showing posts sorted by relevance for query risk of flooding from river and from sea. Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query risk of flooding from river and from sea. Sort by date Show all posts

Monday, 21 June 2021

"With a little help from my friends"

[ Update:  Part II re-uses this and improves the manual for a London area action ]

Part of our mandate at cottenham.info is to raise awareness around climate change issues in East Anglia. A key part is to quantify risks around flooding from land during increasingly variable weather, as well as to predict what sea level rise would look like over time from melting polar ice caps. That combines respectively excellent ground work by DEFRA - see their Future Fens twitter feed - and modelling against topography by Ordnance Survey and DEFRA. And timing of sea level rises is an emotional issue: to balance the reality of the risk with questions around time scales (see comment), will help raise awareness without unduly raising alarm.

Monday, 16 December 2024

Senegal delta sea level rise map

Five friends at Arts & Metiers engineering school in Paris took a ten month leave to sail around the North Atlantic: Lez'Arts Marins (here) sail south from Britanny past the Azores & Madeira to Senegal for a moth humanitarian aid project, west across to Martinique and northeast N of Scotland to Scandinavia and back.

Tuesday, 10 August 2021

"With a little help from my friends", Part II

Update: see an early 2025 to update these maps around the Thames Barrier here.

New how-to 

Part I showed how a map of DEFRA open data can help situational awareness for a West Midlands XR event. Having done a sea level rise and risk of flooding map for the Thames River valley near London last year, I redid one now with the lessons learned in the interval. The previous Sea Level Rise map from Open Data was rather onerous: I streamlined the process to simply load free & open data with only GIS styling; the resulting Build your own can be replicated on other GIS with listed data sources.

Wednesday, 15 October 2025

More maps, in 3D now

This follows on the previous post here of an ongoing series of maps created for outlets that aren't necessarily on the web  - see label:revisit here and label:3D here - this is partly because I'm disengaging from socials; and that itself was partly because I had to let go of significant chunk of work on the internet for lack of resources (see §2 here). See my remaining web presence in the banner menu of the web view here.

Valriepieris Circle

As part of my engagement via XR* Tell the Truth & Quakers Support for Climate Action, I looked at the extent of the Valriepieris Circle encompassing half the world's population in SE Asia. Using various datasets and tricks explained in the ms. here, I created this globe view with basic geomorphology:

click to enlarge, full size here & TIFF here

Bay of Biscay

Outside socials I stay on mailing lists, and my friend John Nelson posted this "trippy map" here in his "please steal this" series also on YouTube here. I made a mistake in grabbing GEBCO sea floor map 2025 update here... as a 3D file & not as a geoTIFF!

I'm currently in SW France, and the near-shore Bay of Biscay near Biarritz has not one but two underwater canyons: not unlike offshore Monterey Bay, I loved to visit when in So. Cal. some 20 yrs ago; both have so-called flysch bedrock explained in the notes below, aussi en français ici.

click to enlarge, full size here

Latest GEBCO topo-bathy data was loaded for the Bay of Biscay area offshore SW France and NW Spanish Cantabria. The Esri Scene above looks almost East toward Southwestern France. The narrow Adour River mouth canyon (top right, river in blue) jumped from the wider pre-Glaciation mouth canyon farther left or North. Note the river on the Cantabrian coast (mid left) has no such mouth. 

The rough Spanish coast reflects the fact that the geology grain of upturned strata (see Costa Quebrada Global Geopark here and some set locations of Game of Thrones here) run parallel to the coast (see mountain range at far right) and erosion follows weak strata. In the Adour River mouth strata are also upturned (as in Bay of Biarritz) but the coast is perpendicular: the cuts go straight along the geologic grain. 

The jump toward the mountains is counter-intuitive: as mountains build up to the right or South, and erosion accumulates in the top center, one expects rivers to move left or North: therefore, the mouth and canyon should shift North not South. What happened is that the Garonne River mouth, currently at the Gironde Estuary visible top center, used to have its mouth at the older canyon of the pair, to the North or at left. 

The Cantabrian mountains are seen at far right, & the Pyrénées are off the map above at right, East & South. As erosion & mountain building elevated the South at right, the Adour River to the South captured part of the flow of the Garonne River**. The Garonne continued Northwest on its current course. The Adour to the South ran parallel to the Pyrenean foothills off the map upper right. Its significant sediment load created the deeper narrower canyon offshore its current mouth**. 

The slight offset between the mouth of the river in blue & its canyon in the upper left hand inset in the scene above is a cartographic error: the onshore roads & rivers dataset don't match the mouth of the river with the newer right hand Southern canyon in the offshore bathymetry; this often happens with divergent data sets with differing metadata &/or simple data errors. See below the 1:1M geologic map of France from IGN (here) posted on the same map as the offshore bathymetry. That is not in fact a B&W image, but a so-called overlay to allow the overlap of different datasets and avoid obscuring each other. Note the fabulous detail that brought up for the bathymetry. 

click to enlarge, full size here

In the geologic map, in red-dotted yellow is the erosional apron, that is the wedge of rocks spreading north from the erosion of the Pyrenees to the south. The Adour River has the arcuate track seen at centre left: its mouth lines up correctly with the new canyon to its left or West. The Garonne River angles Northwestward across the middle toward the Gironde Estuary at center top to the North: it starts flowing NNW near the mountains, then angles NW in the mid section, and pops back NNW before the estuary; if you line up the midsection and extend it to the Bay of Biscay, you see that imaginary line go over Arcachon Basin notch along the coast at centre left, and meet the ancient canyon  at centre left to the West. 
Voilà! The power of GIS marrying datasets to draw visually arresting conclusions.

*Extinction Rebellion maps: risk of flooding from river & from sea for East Anglia & Herefordshire here, London here, and Thames Barrier here.

**Short explanation of geomorphology (the study of landforms):

1: principles 
- rivers cut valleys from their mouth at the coastline backward up the coastal plains and the piedmont to the source at the mountains
- rivers like glaciers carved not thru water or ice flow, but by abrasion via silt, sand, gravel even boulders they carry, called sedimentary load 
- before & after carving the mouth canyons & montane areas, heavy sedimentary loads can be dumped in the piedmont &/or plains: when flow energy drops, so does the capacity to carry sediment and they’re left in levees; these can ironically put rivers above their surrounds, as illustrated in East Anglia at lower left here (blog here: Topography & Geomorphology).

2: narrative 
- geological reasoning from North American & West Asian analogues, neither fieldwork nor literature review
- as the roughly East-West Pyrénées rose, the Adour running parallel and in front of them carved back or East into the erosional apron immediately North of the piedmont
- the Garonne River flowing Northwest from further East emptied into the current Bay of Biscay, and had its mouth at the old canyon further North and left than the current mouth of the Adour River
- as the piedmont rose as did the erosional apron, the Garonne was pushed further North to the current Gironde Estuary, stranding the North older canyon 
- the Adour River carving back toward the upstream section of the Garonne, eventually captured part of the Garonne flow to go East along the piedmont
- its increased water flow, combined with increased sedimentary load from the rising piedmont & erosional apron, resulted in sharper & deeper Southern canyon to the right




Tuesday, 21 January 2025

London Thames Barrier revisited

Update 2: see renewed Sea-level Rise extents according to new information here 

Update 1: see addition at bottom... thanks to our indefatigable London climate activists!

Further to my original blog post 3½ yrs. ago here, I was asked to share maps of the area surrounding the Thames Barrier (Wikipedia): A WhatsApp group considered the necessity for a second barrier under Climate Change that increases both flooding and sea level seasonal elevations. 

Saturday, 23 May 2020

Digital terrain models help create a picture

[ Update: next post discusses same in the East Anglia coastal area of the Fenlands ]

The previous blog showed how to effectively portray coastal inundation, as it progresses inland from the encroachment of sea level rise. These were base on 30 m. resolution Digital Elevation Models (DEM) from OS OpenData as explained previously here.

Friday, 20 December 2019

Flood risk model

Local Community Engagement 1, 2, 34, 5, 6, 7, 8, 910 &11


[Update 1: Part 12 describes Cambridgeshire Parishes affected by sea level rise
Update 2: here is a Story Map that explains the background info to this project
Update 3: this Story Map relates flash floods and not river or coastal inundation
]

Tuesday, 21 September 2021

Sea Level Rise Maps #reloaded

[ Update 2: at bottom is the comprehensive water web map that followed this...

Update 1: near the end of the story map, see how you can style your own DEM tiles ]

 East Anglia Flood Defences Final showcased in a story map the entire flooding infrastructure framework for the region, both from rising sea levels and risk of flooding, complete w flood defence infrastructure.

Online discussions in the wake of the IPCC 2021 report broadened that scope back to an original posting almost two years ago Sea level rise models show ins&outs of climate change science. Here is that update expanding to England and NW Europe, wrapping in all the lessons learned along the way. 

Sunday, 16 May 2021

East Anglia Flood Defences Update

Community Engagement  1, ... 12, 13, 1415, 16 & 17

[ Update: the next blogpost extends this into a 3d interactive map wrapping up this 2 years study ]

This closes the trio of updates on sea level rise timelines and infrastructure based on newly available climate change data, since this project started two years ago. 

Environment Agency's DEFRA not only manages a comprehensive Risk of Flooding for River and from Sea via ground observations and mapping, but it also manages all the infrastructure related to flood risks from the same. 

Let's extend our ongoing mapping effort here to include AIMS Spatial Flood Defences (inc. standardised attributes):

Wednesday, 5 February 2025

London Thames Barrier update

Update 1: here is the transcript of Hansen's latest "in plain English" (alt. here)

Update 2: here is the Climate Cultures article this map was used in, thanks Lola Perrin.

Update 3: here at the end is the relevance of this sort of effort in a broader context

Two weeks ago I recreated Sea Level Rise (SLR) and Risk of Flooding (RoF) maps for the lower Thames River near the Thames Barrier (blog) for a WhatsApp Group considering the future of its ageing infrastructure w.r.t. recent climate extremes. This week came a global and urgent update affecting Sea Level Rise, by James Hansen who sounded the alarm ~ 35 yrs ago (go to 1981 & 1988 in Medium): a paper incl. supplementary materials "Global Warming Has Accelerated" (Columbia) c/w companion webinar (Columbia).